Id say it will be close to the premium WRX with thr core model. It obviously has more HP than the GTI and WRX but they can't price themselves out. So 36k with no packages seems about right. But im just waiting until Toyota releases the price which should be soonish. End of this month or June is what rumors are pointing to.You also have to consider the competition. A last gen CTR technically started at what…$38 I think? A Golf R starts at 45, but it’s a semi-luxury car that only comes fully loaded with a bunch of stuff Toyota isn’t offering on the GRC. Etc. Also, Toyota will definitely not want the core to cost as much as a base 4 cylinder Zupr4 since it’s their halo car. They’ll probably be fine with the Circuit bumping up against it since it’s a special edition that will be very limited.
I think your answers are there, but I also think they’ll want a totally base core to start in well equipped WRX/GTI territory so it gives people shopping those something to think about. But the folks expecting low 30s and even mid 30s are almost certainly going to be disappointed.